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Patrick Mahomes
NFLEstablishedKansas City Chiefs · QB · Age 30
Market Cap
$11.9MRank #7-11.9%
Investment Grade
B+
Undervalued
+40.8%
Confidence
90
Market Sentiment
Mixed
Market Cap History
$11.9M+37.2%over 1Y
Rank Over Time
Market Cap Scorecard
Confidence90
Liquidity87
Volatility55
Momentum33
Risk45
Bull 54%Bear 46%
Short-Term
Bearish
Long-Term
Bullish
AI Insight
The market currently values Patrick Mahomes roughly 41% below comparable football players (Allen, Williams, Daniels) with similar production, age, and pedigree — suggesting relative upside if the gap closes. Momentum has cooled (-34); demand has softened over the last quarter and warrants patience. Liquidity is healthy (87) and volatility is contained (55), which frames the lower risk rating.
Comparable Players
Projected fair cap: $16.8MJA
Josh Allen
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, comparable age curve
$7.70M-35.3% vs Mahomes
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
-5%Proj. Fair Cap
$8.48MCW
Caleb Williams
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, similar emerging tier
$6.20M-47.9% vs Mahomes
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
-14%Proj. Fair Cap
$7.33MJD
Jayden Daniels
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, similar emerging tier
$5.80M-51.3% vs Mahomes
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+22%Proj. Fair Cap
$8.10MCS
C.J. Stroud
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, similar emerging tier
$5.10M-57.1% vs Mahomes
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+37%Proj. Fair Cap
$6.76MTB
Tom Brady
Why: same position profile, proven market ceiling
$15.3M+28.6% vs Mahomes
Career Stage
+2 stagesCard Premium
-29%Proj. Fair Cap
$12.2MHow Market Cap Is Calculated
Calculated using dozens of market signals updated continuously.
Recent sales activityGraded populationRaw population estimatesSales velocityAverage sale pricePremium rookie cardsAutograph demandParallel scarcityCollector demandSearch interestLiquidityMarket momentumPlayer performanceProspect rankingAwardsAge curveCareer trajectoryHistorical comparables
This is an intelligence layer for evaluating relative value — not a prediction engine or financial advice.