Back to Market Cap Index
LD
Luka Doncic
NBAEstablishedLos Angeles Lakers · PG · Age 26
Market Cap
$11.2MRank #9+4.8%
Investment Grade
B-
Undervalued
-0.7%
Confidence
71
Market Sentiment
Mixed
Market Cap History
$11.2M+14.2%over 1Y
Rank Over Time
Market Cap Scorecard
Confidence71
Liquidity73
Volatility67
Momentum66
Risk64
Bull 52%Bear 48%
Short-Term
Bullish
Long-Term
Neutral
AI Insight
Luka Doncic is priced roughly in line with comparable players (Tatum, Curry, Edwards) — the market sees this valuation as fair given current production and stage. Recent performance has outpaced card appreciation, so momentum (+31) points to continued interest if current trends hold. Liquidity is healthy (73) and volatility is elevated (67), which frames the higher risk rating.
Comparable Players
Projected fair cap: $11.1MJT
Jayson Tatum
Why: similar career stage, comparable age curve, similar emerging tier
$8.10M-27.7% vs Doncic
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
+3%Proj. Fair Cap
$8.62MSC
Stephen Curry
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, adjacent market tier
$9.80M-12.5% vs Doncic
Career Stage
+1 stageCard Premium
+39%Proj. Fair Cap
$8.43MAE
Anthony Edwards
Why: similar career stage, comparable age curve, similar emerging tier
$9.30M-17.0% vs Doncic
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+44%Proj. Fair Cap
$7.53MVW
Victor Wembanyama
Why: similar career stage, proven market ceiling
$13.5M+20.5% vs Doncic
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+10%Proj. Fair Cap
$12.4MLJ
LeBron James
Why: similar career stage, adjacent market tier
$12.6M+12.5% vs Doncic
Career Stage
+1 stageCard Premium
-4%Proj. Fair Cap
$12.4MHow Market Cap Is Calculated
Calculated using dozens of market signals updated continuously.
Recent sales activityGraded populationRaw population estimatesSales velocityAverage sale pricePremium rookie cardsAutograph demandParallel scarcityCollector demandSearch interestLiquidityMarket momentumPlayer performanceProspect rankingAwardsAge curveCareer trajectoryHistorical comparables
This is an intelligence layer for evaluating relative value — not a prediction engine or financial advice.