Back to Market Cap Index
CH
Chet Holmgren
NBARisingOklahoma City Thunder · C · Age 23
Market Cap
$5.40MRank #31-8.4%
Investment Grade
B-
Undervalued
-3.2%
Confidence
74
Market Sentiment
Bearish
Market Cap History
$5.40M+32.3%over 1Y
Rank Over Time
Market Cap Scorecard
Confidence74
Liquidity78
Volatility64
Momentum38
Risk60
Bull 34%Bear 66%
Short-Term
Bearish
Long-Term
Bullish
AI Insight
Chet Holmgren is priced roughly in line with comparable players (Edwards, Wembanyama, Flagg) — the market sees this valuation as fair given current production and stage. Momentum has cooled (-24); demand has softened over the last quarter and warrants patience. Liquidity is healthy (78) and volatility is elevated (64), which frames the higher risk rating.
Comparable Players
Projected fair cap: $5.23MAE
Anthony Edwards
Why: similar career stage, comparable age curve, proven market ceiling
$9.30M+72.2% vs Holmgren
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
-6%Proj. Fair Cap
$7.53MVW
Victor Wembanyama
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, comparable age curve
$13.5M+150.0% vs Holmgren
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
+13%Proj. Fair Cap
$12.4MCF
Cooper Flagg
Why: similar career stage, proven market ceiling
$6.70M+24.1% vs Holmgren
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+22%Proj. Fair Cap
$7.08MVE
VJ Edgecombe
Why: similar career stage, comparable age curve, similar emerging tier
$3.60M-33.3% vs Holmgren
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
-22%Proj. Fair Cap
$3.96MJT
Jayson Tatum
Why: similar career stage, proven market ceiling
$8.10M+50.0% vs Holmgren
Career Stage
+1 stageCard Premium
+37%Proj. Fair Cap
$8.62MHow Market Cap Is Calculated
Calculated using dozens of market signals updated continuously.
Recent sales activityGraded populationRaw population estimatesSales velocityAverage sale pricePremium rookie cardsAutograph demandParallel scarcityCollector demandSearch interestLiquidityMarket momentumPlayer performanceProspect rankingAwardsAge curveCareer trajectoryHistorical comparables
This is an intelligence layer for evaluating relative value — not a prediction engine or financial advice.