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AM
Auston Matthews
NHLEstablishedToronto Maple Leafs · C · Age 28
Market Cap
$4.50MRank #35-8.9%
Investment Grade
B
Undervalued
+38.0%
Confidence
86
Market Sentiment
Mixed
Market Cap History
$4.50M+37.6%over 1Y
Rank Over Time
Market Cap Scorecard
Confidence86
Liquidity66
Volatility54
Momentum29
Risk50
Bull 49%Bear 51%
Short-Term
Bearish
Long-Term
Bullish
AI Insight
The market currently values Auston Matthews roughly 38% below comparable hockey players (MacKinnon, McDavid, Bedard) with similar production, age, and pedigree — suggesting relative upside if the gap closes. Momentum has cooled (-43); demand has softened over the last quarter and warrants patience. Liquidity is moderate (66) and volatility is contained (54), which frames the lower risk rating.
Comparable Players
Projected fair cap: $6.21MNM
Nathan MacKinnon
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, comparable age curve
$4.20M-6.7% vs Matthews
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
+37%Proj. Fair Cap
$4.15MCM
Connor McDavid
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, comparable age curve
$6.60M+46.7% vs Matthews
Career Stage
Same stageCard Premium
-28%Proj. Fair Cap
$6.76MCB
Connor Bedard
Why: same position profile, similar career stage, adjacent market tier
$4.90M+8.9% vs Matthews
Career Stage
-1 stageCard Premium
+5%Proj. Fair Cap
$3.95MMC
Macklin Celebrini
Why: same position profile, similar emerging tier
$3.10M-31.1% vs Matthews
Career Stage
-2 stagesCard Premium
+6%Proj. Fair Cap
$2.45MWG
Wayne Gretzky
Why: same position profile, proven market ceiling
$9.10M+102.2% vs Matthews
Career Stage
+2 stagesCard Premium
+16%Proj. Fair Cap
$10.3MHow Market Cap Is Calculated
Calculated using dozens of market signals updated continuously.
Recent sales activityGraded populationRaw population estimatesSales velocityAverage sale pricePremium rookie cardsAutograph demandParallel scarcityCollector demandSearch interestLiquidityMarket momentumPlayer performanceProspect rankingAwardsAge curveCareer trajectoryHistorical comparables
This is an intelligence layer for evaluating relative value — not a prediction engine or financial advice.